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Gold Whales Cash Out $40 Million as Prices Cross $5,000 — Are Smart Money Traders Calling the Top?

Market EventsOn-Chain AnalyticsPrice Action
March 9, 2026
4 min read
Gold Whales Cash Out $40 Million as Prices Cross $5,000 — Are Smart Money Traders Calling the Top?

Two clusters of on-chain whale addresses sold roughly $40 million worth of tokenized gold over two days as the metal traded above $5,000 per ounce. This has raised questions about whether large holders see a short-term ceiling.

The exits were tracked by on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain, which flagged the moves across multiple wallet addresses holding Tether Gold (XAUT) and PAX Gold (PAXG), two blockchain tokens backed one-to-one by physical gold.

Gold Whale Exits Captured Millions in Gains

Two wallets, identified as 0x8C08 and 0xdfcA, believed to belong to the same holder, sold 5,250 XAUT at $5,125 per token and 560 PAXG at $5,173. The combined sale totaled approximately $29.8 million, generating an estimated $5.32 million in profit.

Hours later, a separate wallet (0x8844) sold 1,934 XAUT at $5,037, raising the total to around $40 million across both actors. That second exit secured roughly $1.74 million in gains.

These moves came as physical gold prices crossed a level few analysts had forecast just months earlier.

Gold (XAU) Price Performance
Gold (XAU) Price Performance. Source: TradingView

It draws attention to whether on-chain profit-taking signals broader sentiment among large holders.

Macro Divergence Splits the Outlook

Not everyone reads the exits as a bearish signal. The broader backdrop driving gold higher involves a combination of geopolitical stress, energy supply disruption, and central bank accumulation. These factors, analysts argue, are structural rather than speculative.

Ole Hansen, commodities strategist at Saxo Bank, acknowledged the tension between short-term headwinds and longer-term demand drivers:

“Gold initially traded lower as crude prices surged on the assumption that higher energy costs could lift inflation and delay or even remove rate cut expectations. However, this assessment may be misplaced as the current price surge reflects a supply shock, not stronger demand, raising the risk of stagflation that could ultimately force central banks to provide economic support. In the short term, deleveraging and a stronger dollar, may weigh on prices without removing the underlying reasons investors have increasingly been flocking to hard assets in recent years,” wrote Ole Hansen,

Hansen’s read suggests any pullback from dollar strength or position unwind may be temporary rather than a trend reversal.

Structural Bid Remains Intact

Elsewhere, macro analyst Shanaka Anslem offered a more sweeping interpretation of the $5,000-plus price level. He framed gold’s surge not as a flight-to-safety trade but as a repricing event driven by cascading institutional failures across insurance, diplomacy, energy, and finance.

Anslem pointed to events including P&I clubs canceling war-risk coverage, Strait of Hormuz transit halting, and a stagflation trap confronting the Federal Reserve ahead of its March FOMC meeting.

He cited J.P. Morgan’s year-end target of $6,300 and noted central banks purchased 863 tonnes of gold in 2025, with China’s People’s Bank of China (PBOC) buying for 16 consecutive months.

“Gold at $5,100 is not a safe-haven trade. It is the market beginning to price a world where every institutional promise that underpins global commerce is failing simultaneously… Gold is the only asset in the global financial system with zero counterparty risk,” wrote Shanaka.

Central bank accumulation from Poland, India, Turkey, and China reinforces the case that sovereign demand, not retail speculation, is anchoring the structural bid.

Profit-Taking vs. Structural Repricing

The whale exits illustrate a recurring tension in commodity markets. Short-term profit maximization among large individual holders runs parallel to long-term accumulation by institutions with different time horizons.

Whether the $40 million in tokenized gold sales marks a local top or a temporary reduction in exposure may depend on:

  • How quickly energy supply disruptions resolve and
  • Whether the dollar resumes weakening.

With the Fed facing an oil-driven inflation spike while growth risks mount, the macro environment that sent gold through $5,000 shows few signs of immediate resolution.

The post Gold Whales Cash Out $40 Million as Prices Cross $5,000 — Are Smart Money Traders Calling the Top? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

RELATED TOPICS

whale sell offtokenized goldgold priceon-chain analyticsmacro environmentinstitutional demandprofit takinggold marketgeopolitical stresscentral bank purchases

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